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Past Calls
from the Market Update Service.
Extensive List of
Past Calls
Markets
We are still bullish from the intermediate time frame perspective and
still feel that all massive pull backs are nothing but buying
opportunities. Right now risk takers should divide their money into
3 lots and deploy on lot in the 12800-12900 ranges. Deploy the Second
lot in the 12530-12630 ranges. Hold onto the third lot for now. Once
again this play is only for those traders who are willing to take on
extra risk. Buy call options on the DIA or QQQQ’s and make sure they
have at least 6 months of time on them. Market update Nov 13,
2007
It appears that almost all the signals being generated are suggesting
that the markets are setting themselves for an incredibly huge rally
that could actually propel the Dow to put in its first all time true
new high since 2000. Risk takers should use any strong pull backs
below the 12900 level to add to their call positions. The rest should
use strong pull backs to purchase shares in the stocks listed in our
portfolios particularly in the Uranium, oil, gas and coal sectors.
Market update Nov 20, 2007
Traders had 4 days to take a plunge and follow our advice as one of
our trigger points from the Nov 13 update was hit and then another
trigger point (12900) from the Nov 20 market update was hit; traders
had up to the 27th of this month to move. Those that moved are
already sitting on close to 100-150% profit depending on what levels
you purchased these options. Futures traders are sitting on gains of
over 5000 dollar per Full Dow futures contract and even more if they
went long the SP 500 futures contracts. Congratulations to those of
you that took a risk. Market update Nov 27, 2007
In the short term though there is one negative and that is our smart
money indicator; last week when the Dow dropped instead of diverging
it confirmed the drop and thus it appears that the Dow could test its
lows (12700-12800) once again before embarking on a very strong rally.
However as we stated under the Standard deviation section a lowering
of the interest rate would over ride this and instead produce a strong
rally, especially if the Feds had to issue statements suggesting that
they would continue to lower rates. Market update Dec 4, 2007
For a day that produced one of the largest one day rallies since July
of 2002 the moving averages hardly budged but then again we need to
remember these are moving averages and not daily averages. Over the
last few weeks they have been beaten down pretty heavily so it will
take a bit more of upside action to move things into the positive
arena. We feel that the market has put in a bottom or is now very
close to putting in a bottom. The confirmation will come when we see
all 3 moving averages of new highs start to lead the new lows for
several weeks in a row. Market update March 11, 2008
Risk
takers can also go long the next time the Dow trades in the
11900-12000 ranges. As stated before we will measure the gains in
terms of points gained from our suggested entry points. However
traders can go long via options on the DOW, QQQQ’s, OEX and futures
traders can simply go long Dow futures contracts. Market update
March 11, 2008
Swiss Franc
As envisioned
it surged upwards and in doing so went to put in a series of new 52
week highs. We had been talking about the Swiss franc and Japanese yen
for a long time and those who listened to us and positioned themselves
in these currencies are sitting on very lovely gains. The Swiss franc
is close to testing its 10 year high and if it can trade above 90 for
11 days in a row it will go on to put in a multi decade new high.
11/14/07
It surged all the way to 90.90 before pulling back, however it was
unable to trade above 90 for 11 days. It appears to be building energy
to do this again; however it will now have to trade above 90.90 for 9
days in row to go to put in another series of 52 week highs.
12/04/2007
Gold
As stated
Gold bullion would be in a position to test the 830 mark after trading
past 720 for 21 days and so far this part has come to fruition. As
there are just way too many individuals turning bullish on gold its
going to have a bit of harder time getting to 900 and thus this could
take a bit longer then initially envisioned. In order for gold to be
in a position to take out the 900 level in the next 21 to 30 days it
needs to stay above 780 on a closing basis. A failure to hold above
this level could drag it all the way down to 720 again. 11/14/07
After
having traded past 720 for 21 days in a row we stated that it would be
in a position to test the 830 and 900 ranges. Well it tested the first
range and is now building force for the second zone. Silver is far
more explosive and thus aggressive traders could use pull backs to the
780-793 ranges to open up longs in silver futures and or gold futures.
12/04/2007
Oil
Oil did not
trade below 87 on a closing basis and in doing so built steam for
another leg up. It briefly flirted with the 100 mark; our initial
long term target of 99 has been hit and now we wait for the second
target of 120 to be taken out. Ultimately if the current chaotic
situation surrounding the oil markets does not change than our long
term price target of 300 will one day not seem as ridiculous as it
seems now? The same could have been said of our now hit target of 99
dollars. Oil does not have a chance to correct simply because of the
current geopolitical situation and it does not look like things are
going to get better. If it’s not Iran, then it’s Venezuela or Nigeria
and the oil reserves in Iraq are still nothing but a pipe dream
because of the instability there. Demand on the other hand continues
to soar. Ideally oil should pull back to the 81 dollars and trade
sideways but ideal is not what always happens, so risk takers can go
long on a pull back to the 89-90 ranges; place a stop at 83 and take
profits at 99 dollars. For oil to trade significantly higher it will
need to trade past 99 dollars for 27 days in a row; if it does this
there is a very good chance it will test 120 in less than 6 months.
Market update Jan 08, 2008
Traders
were filled as oil traded in the suggested ranges (89-90) however it
has not been able to rally past the 90 mark; make sure to maintain
your stops at 83. Oil needs to trade past 90 for 6 days and in doing
so it will probably spike to the 96.00- 99.00 ranges. We would lower
our exit points to the 96.00 ranges to ensure a quick exit if the
above ranges are tested. 6th
Feb 2008
Another set of predictions that has come true and traders were able to
lock in profits of 7000 to 10000 per contract. Oil actually traded as
high as 103 before pulling back so it was easy to bail out. If it
pulls back to 93-96 ranges risk takers can go long and put in sell
orders to close these positions out on a test of 99.90 to 102 ranges.
March 4th , 2008
Palladium
PAL makes for an incredible long term play. Its prices are even below
the mouth watering level. Market update Jan 8th, 2008;
from the Tactical investor sector analysis portion.
From a long term perspective PAL is selling at what one day will be
looked upon as an unbelievable event; in fact some other company might
make a play for PAL as was the case with SWC; Norilsk mines took a
controlling stake in SWC at or around its lows in the 6 dollar ranges.
Market update Jan 15, 2008.
The
second massive anomaly is the fact that Gold is selling for more than
Palladium when in fact Palladium is the more valuable of the two
metals. Now we have what amounts to a double intra market positive
divergence signal; these signals are very rare and so we hardly speak
of them. Basically when you get such a signal it indicates that one
of the markets is oversold to the other to such a point that in most
cases it’s a result of massive manipulation. This manipulation always
comes to an end and when it does the resulting move is huge to say the
least
Palladium stands out like a sore thumb because unlike the rest it has
not been in a rampant bull market and now the reasons for a massive
spike have just doubled. We strongly advice subscribers with extra
money to purchase additional shares especially of PAL, some money can
be allocated to SWC also and keep deploying extra money into Bullion.
Market update Feb, 06. 2008.
As stated before if Palladium bullion can remain above 420 for 27-30
days it would be in a position to complete a rather explosive pattern.
The last part of this pattern would be for it to break past 450. Once
this occurs one can state that there is an over 75% chance that
Palladiums next target will be past 510 and that 600-660 would not be
out of the question in the next 9-12 months. The price differential
between Platinum and Palladium is now at historic proportions. History
has shown time and time again that a good bargain never lasts
forever. Market update Feb 12, 2008
The
price differential between Palladium and Platinum has now reached
historic proportions; if one goes back all the way to 1977 the price
differential between the two metals was never more than 550. Today the
price differential is over 1300 dollars; Palladium is trading at
roughly 420 and Platinum is trading at roughly 1800 dollars. It is
more than double that of the prior price differential which stood
roughly at 550 dollars. Just this one fact alone is enough to suggest
that Palladium is going to go ballistic. Before we carry on remember
this good deals do not present themselves everyday and they take time
to become good for if everyone realised they were good no one would be
able to make a killing. Good deals depend on mass stupidity and mass
impatience; this was clearly seen in the dot.com bust, the housing
mania, the Gold, silver bull (both took a long time to manifest
themselves), base metals, the silent palladium bull, the agricultural
commodities and so forth. We got our subscribers into Silver, gold
and Palladium bullion early and initially it looked like we might have
done the wrong thing for prices pulled back and then did nothing for
almost a year. Fast forward now and look how well patience was
rewarded.
Market
Update Feb 06, 2008
Natural Gas
Some parts of
the country are experiencing terrible winter storms and other parts
actually are unusually warm. Today it felt like spring on the entire
East Coast; in fact in New York almost everyone was walking around
with no jackets or very light jackets. However the fact remains that
the main problem right now is supplies and a major portion of our
supply comes from Canada; Canadian supplies are dwindling at a faster
than expected rate and its getting harder and harder to locate huge
new gas fields. So in the end unless massive new discoveries are made
both in the US and Canada even without extremely huge demand, supplies
are going to continue to drop and hence price will rise. From a
futures perspective the Natural gas market is one of the trickiest to
play as a dollar move translates into a 10,000 dollar profit or loss
depending on which side of the market you are. If it can stay above
7.20 for 11 days in a row on a closing basis it will have a very good
chance of testing the 8.40 and possibly 9.00 mark before pulling back.
Risk takers can go long in the 7.20-7.50 ranges. 08/01/08
Natural gas
surged to 8.40 as envisioned; traders who took part in this play
should have closed their positions with gains of 12,000 per contract.
This market is not for the faint of heart as the moves are huge on a
dollar basis. If it pulls back to the 7.50-7.65 ranges open new longs
place a stop at 7.05 and take profits in the 8.10-8.40 ranges. Natural
gas is now trading in a range; it needs to break past 8.40 for 18-21
days in a row to be in a position to trade to the 9.00 mark and
higher. 6th Feb 2008
We
are updating the page that carries our market calls for 2007.
For an extensive list of past calls click the link below
Extensive List of
Past Calls
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