When you recognize and understand your weaknesses that is when you can truly begin to focus on your strengths. Sol Palha

                                                                                                                                                                              

Welcome to the Tactical Investor where we combine Mass Psychology, Technical Analysis and Esoteric Cycles to keep you on the right side of the market. We provide information in a Unbiased and Timely manner. Instructions are Simple, No waves and mysterious terminologies are used here, you are either told to buy ,sell or hold it's as simple as that.

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Past Calls from the Market Update Service.   

            Extensive List of Past Calls

Markets  

We are still bullish from the intermediate time frame perspective and still feel that all massive pull backs are nothing but buying opportunities.   Right now risk takers should divide their money into 3 lots and deploy on lot in the 12800-12900 ranges.  Deploy the Second lot in the 12530-12630 ranges.  Hold onto the third lot for now. Once again this play is only for those traders who are willing to take on extra risk.  Buy call options on the DIA or QQQQ’s and make sure they have at least 6 months of time on them.   Market update Nov 13, 2007  

It appears that almost all the signals being generated are suggesting that the markets are setting themselves for an incredibly huge rally that could actually propel the Dow to put in its first all time true new high since 2000.  Risk takers should use any strong pull backs below the 12900 level to add to their call positions. The rest should use strong pull backs to purchase shares in the stocks listed in our portfolios particularly in the Uranium, oil, gas and coal sectors. Market update Nov 20, 2007

 Traders had 4 days to take a plunge and follow our advice as one of our trigger points from the Nov 13 update was hit and then another trigger point (12900) from the Nov 20 market update was hit; traders had up to the 27th of this month to move.  Those that moved are already sitting on close to 100-150% profit depending on what levels you purchased these options. Futures traders are sitting on gains of over 5000 dollar per Full Dow futures contract and even more if they went long the SP 500 futures contracts. Congratulations to those of you that took a risk.  Market update Nov 27, 2007 

In the short term though there is one negative and that is our smart money indicator; last week when the Dow dropped instead of diverging it confirmed the drop and thus it appears that the Dow could test its lows (12700-12800) once again before embarking on a very strong rally. However as we stated under the Standard deviation section a lowering of the interest rate would over ride this and instead produce a strong rally, especially if the Feds had to issue statements suggesting that they would continue to lower rates.  Market update Dec 4, 2007

For a day that produced one of the largest one day rallies since July of 2002 the moving averages hardly budged but then again we need to remember these are moving averages and not daily averages. Over the last few weeks they have been beaten down pretty heavily so it will take a bit more of upside action to move things into the positive arena. We feel that the market has put in a bottom or is now very close to putting in a bottom. The confirmation will come when we see all 3 moving averages of new highs start to lead the new lows for several weeks in a row.  Market update March 11, 2008

 Risk takers can also go long the next time the Dow trades in the 11900-12000 ranges. As stated before we will measure the gains in terms of points gained from our suggested entry points. However traders can go long via options on the DOW, QQQQ’s, OEX and futures traders can simply go long Dow futures contracts.  Market update March 11, 2008  


Swiss Franc  

As envisioned it surged upwards and in doing so went to put in a series of new 52 week highs. We had been talking about the Swiss franc and Japanese yen for a long time and those who listened to us and positioned themselves in these currencies are sitting on very lovely gains.  The Swiss franc is close to testing its 10 year high and if it can trade above 90 for 11 days in a row it will go on to put in a multi decade new high. 11/14/07 

It surged all the way to 90.90 before pulling back, however it was unable to trade above 90 for 11 days. It appears to be building energy to do this again; however it will now have to trade above 90.90 for 9 days in row to go to put in another series of 52 week highs. 12/04/2007  


Gold  

As stated Gold bullion would be in a position to test the 830 mark after trading past 720 for 21 days and so far this part has come to fruition.  As there are just way too many individuals turning bullish on gold its going to have a bit of harder time getting to 900 and thus this could take a bit longer then initially envisioned. In order for gold to be in a position to take out the 900 level in the next 21 to 30 days it needs to stay above 780 on a closing basis. A failure to hold above this level could drag it all the way down to 720 again. 11/14/07

 After having traded past 720 for 21 days in a row we stated that it would be in a position to test the 830 and 900 ranges. Well it tested the first range and is now building force for the second zone.  Silver is far more explosive and thus aggressive traders could use pull backs to the 780-793 ranges to open up longs in silver futures and or gold futures. 12/04/2007  


Oil 

Oil did not trade below 87 on a closing basis and in doing so built steam for another leg up.  It briefly flirted with the 100 mark; our initial long term target of 99 has been hit and now we wait for the second target of 120 to be taken out. Ultimately if the current chaotic situation surrounding the oil markets does not change than our long term price target of 300 will one day not seem as ridiculous as it seems now? The same could have been said of our now hit target of 99 dollars.  Oil does not have a chance to correct simply because of the current geopolitical situation and it does not look like things are going to get better. If it’s not Iran, then it’s Venezuela or Nigeria and the oil reserves in Iraq are still nothing but a pipe dream because of the instability there. Demand on the other hand continues to soar.  Ideally oil should pull back to the 81 dollars and trade sideways but ideal is not what always happens, so risk takers can go long on a pull back to the 89-90 ranges; place a stop at 83 and take profits at 99 dollars.  For oil to trade significantly higher it will need to trade past 99 dollars for 27 days in a row; if it does this there is a very good chance it will test 120 in less than 6 months. Market update Jan 08, 2008 

Traders were filled as oil traded in the suggested ranges (89-90) however it has not been able to rally past the 90 mark; make sure to maintain your stops at 83.  Oil needs to trade past 90 for 6 days and in doing so it will probably spike to the 96.00- 99.00 ranges.  We would lower our exit points to the 96.00 ranges to ensure a quick exit if the above ranges are tested.  6th Feb 2008

Another set of predictions that has come true and traders were able to lock in profits of 7000 to 10000 per contract.  Oil actually traded as high as 103 before pulling back so it was easy to bail out. If it pulls back to 93-96 ranges risk takers can go long and put in sell orders to close these positions out on a test of 99.90 to 102 ranges. March 4th , 2008


Palladium 

PAL makes for an incredible long term play. Its prices are even below the mouth watering level.   Market update Jan 8th, 2008; from the Tactical investor sector analysis portion. 

From a long term perspective PAL is selling at what one day will be looked upon as an unbelievable event; in fact some other company might make a play for PAL as was the case with SWC; Norilsk mines took a controlling stake in SWC at or around its lows in the 6 dollar ranges. Market update Jan 15, 2008.

 The second massive anomaly is the fact that Gold is selling for more than Palladium when in fact Palladium is the more valuable of the two metals. Now we have what amounts to a double intra market positive divergence signal; these signals are very rare and so we hardly speak of them.  Basically when you get such a signal it indicates that one of the markets is oversold to the other to such a point that in most cases it’s a result of massive manipulation. This manipulation always comes to an end and when it does the resulting move is huge to say the least

 Palladium stands out like a sore thumb because unlike the rest it has not been in a rampant bull market and now the reasons for a massive spike have just doubled.   We strongly advice subscribers with extra money to purchase additional shares  especially of PAL, some money can be allocated to SWC also and keep deploying extra money into Bullion. Market update Feb, 06. 2008.

  As stated before if Palladium bullion can remain above 420 for 27-30 days it would be in a position to complete a rather explosive pattern. The last part of this pattern would be for it to break past 450. Once this occurs one can state that there is an over 75% chance that Palladiums next target will be past 510 and that 600-660 would not be out of the question in the next 9-12 months.  The price differential between Platinum and Palladium is now at historic proportions. History has shown time and time again that a good bargain never lasts forever.  Market update Feb 12, 2008

 The price differential between Palladium and Platinum has now reached historic proportions; if one goes back all the way to 1977 the price differential between the two metals was never more than 550. Today the price differential is over 1300 dollars; Palladium is trading at roughly 420 and Platinum is trading at roughly 1800 dollars.  It is more than double that of the prior price differential which stood roughly at 550 dollars.  Just this one fact alone is enough to suggest that Palladium is going to go ballistic.  Before we carry on remember this good deals do not present themselves everyday and they take time to become good for if everyone realised they were good no one would be able to make a killing.  Good deals depend on mass stupidity and mass impatience; this was clearly seen in the dot.com bust, the housing mania, the Gold, silver bull (both took a long time to manifest themselves), base metals, the silent palladium bull, the agricultural commodities and so forth.   We got our subscribers into Silver, gold and Palladium bullion early and initially it looked like we might have done the wrong thing for prices pulled back and then did nothing for almost a year.  Fast forward now and look how well patience was rewarded.  Market Update Feb 06, 2008


Natural Gas

Some parts of the country are experiencing terrible winter storms and other parts actually are unusually warm. Today it felt like spring on the entire East Coast; in fact in New York almost everyone was walking around with no jackets or very light jackets.  However the fact remains that the main problem right now is supplies and a major portion of our supply comes from Canada; Canadian supplies are dwindling at a faster than expected rate and its getting harder and harder to locate huge new gas fields.  So in the end unless massive new discoveries are made both in the US and Canada even without extremely huge demand, supplies are going to continue to drop and hence price will rise.  From a futures perspective the Natural gas market is one of the trickiest to play as a dollar move translates into a 10,000 dollar profit or loss depending on which side of the market you are.  If it can stay above 7.20 for 11 days in a row on a closing basis it will have a very good chance of testing the 8.40 and possibly 9.00 mark before pulling back. Risk takers can go long in the 7.20-7.50 ranges. 08/01/08

 Natural gas surged to 8.40 as envisioned; traders who took part in this play should have closed their positions with gains of 12,000 per contract. This market is not for the faint of heart as the moves are huge on a dollar basis. If it pulls back to the 7.50-7.65 ranges open new longs place a stop at 7.05 and take profits in the 8.10-8.40 ranges. Natural gas is now trading in a range; it needs to break past 8.40 for 18-21 days in a row to be in a position to trade to the 9.00 mark and higher. 6th Feb 2008


 

 We are updating the page that carries our market calls for 2007.

 

 

 

 

For an extensive list of past calls click the link below 

Extensive List of Past Calls

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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The Tactical Investor does not give individualized market advice. We publish information regarding companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and our reports reflect our sincere opinions. However, they are not intended to be personalized recommendations to buy, hold, or sell securities. Investments in the securities markets, especially options, are speculative and involve substantial risk. Only you can determine what level of risk is appropriate for you. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must have a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. This booklet is for free from your broker or from any of the US options exchanges or you can download it from the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) website.. . We encourage our readers to invest carefully. You can review public companies' filings at the SEC's EDGAR page. We also encourage you to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor before acting on information that we publish. Most of our information is derived directly from information published by the companies on which we report and/or from other sources we believe are reliable, without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action which you take in reliance on our statements.

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